A podcast by venture capital firm Lux Capital on the opportunities and risks of science, technology, finance and the human condition. Hosted by Danny Crichton from our New York City studios.
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Jacob Lux Podcasts
Married to Who is a podcast featuring two married couples and their abusive friend who makes them watch his favorite show. And Larson’s there too.
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Antelope Valley Springs of Life
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Each week, IXNAY brings you tips on how you can help end the Trump presidency from real, live, American voters. Hosted by Trace Crutchfield. Subscribe now!
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The Marrieds are back to tentatively take a look at the start of the 2-part finale. They didn’t have high hopes for a banger of an RTD finale, but maybe they were surprised?By Married To Who
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Over the past few decades, an astonishing pattern has taken place: Americans no longer migrate. From a peak of roughly one third of the country moving cities in a single year, today, migration rates have declined and are now in line with the Old Continent of Europe. The dynamism of the American economy was predicated on all kinds of people seeking …
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We’re back! The Doctor and Belinda kick back to watch everyone’s favorite song contest, but they’re interrupted by terrorists! Belinda does nothing and The Doctor talks in a hallway for 15 minutes. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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What America can learn from the rebooting of Estonia
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35:35Estonia is a nation of 1.3 million people, situated in a dangerous neighborhood on the Baltic Sea. It gained its independence early in the 20th century, only for the Soviets to take the country by force. Estonia gained its independence again in 1991, and has since become one of the most digital-native countries in the world. How did a nation with a…
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The relevant axis of political conflict is change versus stasis
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47:54
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47:54Abundance has become the word of the year in politics, led by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson’s book and a slew of articles and podcasts trailing in its wake. Everyone loves growth and prosperity of course, but what ultimately matters in local politics is organizing. To build the future in America’s cities, you’ve got to secure petitions, representat…
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Samuel Arbesman on his new book, The Magic of Code
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41:36It’s not every day that we get to fete the launch of a new book by one of our colleagues at Lux Capital, so today is a very special day. Lux’s scientist-in-residence, Sam Arbesman, just published his new book, “The Magic of Code: How Digital Language Created and Connects Our World―and Shapes Our Future.” It’s a deep dive into the wonderful conjurin…
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Can we ever defend against agricultural warfare?
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35:05
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35:05Food is one of the great bedrocks of human existence. Given its primacy to survival, it has also increasingly become a locus for conflict, either due to famine or as an exploitable vulnerability of even the most powerful countries. Russia’s war on Ukraine made it clear that grain could be fought over in the battle for supremacy, with the whole worl…
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The Marrieds are back to chat about The Story and the Engine. Their reasons differ, but they all seem to like it. Not gonna lie, I edited this a long time ago and don’t remember what happens. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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For America, is big or open best for AI models?
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39:02Since the launch of Project Stargate by OpenAI and the debut of DeepSeek’s V3 model, there has been a raging debate in global AI circles: what’s the balance between openness and scale when it comes to the competition for the frontiers of AI performance? More compute has traditionally led to better models, but V3 showed that it was possible to rapid…
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It’s really hard to get DC to understand Silicon Valley
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38:39
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38:39The U.S. Congress and the executive branch have an extraordinary level of influence over all aspects of business. Yet, as businesses have become ever more complex, the gap in knowledge between legislators and regulators has dramatically increased. That pattern is even more evident when it comes to high-scale startups and the venture capital industr…
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The Marrieds are back to celebrate the return of Ruby! This lady can’t seem to catch a break. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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Remembering Daniel Kahneman on optimism and self-confidence (Part 2)
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27:00Last week, we recirculated one of my favorite episodes in the entire archive, our May 2022 lunch debate on risk, bias and decision-making with Nobel Prize Winner Danny Kahneman, World Series of Poker champion Annie Duke, legendary investment strategist Michael Maubaussin of Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global, and our own founding managing partner…
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A spooky banger in the middle of the season is exactly what The Marrieds needed. They laud the performances, debate the details, and make fun of Terry. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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How to turn around America’s tech-industrial decline, now
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26:11Reindustrialization has been a persistent theme in Silicon Valley circles the past few years, and now it’s having its moment in the sun in Washington DC too. More and more policymakers, legislators and administrators have come to terms with a stark reality: America has left the means of production behind, and in the process, has surrendered some of…
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Remembering Daniel Kahneman on Risk, Bias and Decision-Making (Part 1)
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25:53This is a big week for us, since we officially re-launched the newsletter on our gorgeous new web address Riskgaming.com, which we are now hosting on Substack. You’ll find all of our archives there, as well as much easier tools to manage your subscription to our Dispatches, Event Announcements, our edited Interviews and after almost a decade, Lux R…
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This week, The Marrieds are back to battle another from The Pantheon, Lux! They all generally liked the episode, which means they spend the whole time making fun of it. It was fun to record, hope you enjoy listening!By Married To Who
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Europe faces an existential crisis. Long an innovation, technology and manufacturing hub, its greatest companies and wider industries have been hit hard by competition from American tech giants like Google and Chinese manufacturing powerhouses like BYD. Multiple prominent reports have circulated about how the European Union can rapidly respond befo…
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Ncuti’s second season is here! We talk all about The Robot Revolution, a new companion, and finish off with a Ken Jennings quiz. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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Something is rotten in the state of the internet. Social networks that were once meant to be entertaining diversions have become riven with vituperative political combat that leaves all but the most blinkered acolytes running for the safety of a funny YouTube channel. Bots swarm through the discourse, as do trolls and other bad actors. How did we l…
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The Marrieds return to the Key to Time series to see how it ends. They mostly talk about whether or not you should cut pasta and then play a trivia game. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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The markets have massively gyrated the past few weeks as hourly pronouncements from the White House and Mar-a-Lago seize investors with terror or relieve them of stress. At the heart of the vociferous debate around tariffs and trade is nothing less than the future economy of the United States. What should be built here? What should we outsource? Wh…
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The Marrieds are taking a little detour to learn a little bit about some things that may be relevant for Ncuti’s upcoming second season. They get their 2nd taste of the 4th Doctor, a Timelord companion, and they genuinely get upset over the death of an ancillary character. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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The hyper-competition of U.S.-China trade relations
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32:37With the launch of President Trump’s trade war this week, few countries are more at risk than China. Faced with a sudden and massive expansion of tariffs as well as changes to the de minimis parcel rule, the export-led development model that has led China to great wealth is now under serious threat. What should we learn from the past of U.S.-China …
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“You can cause a lot of havoc with a cell phone and a cheap DJI drone”
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41:56Chaos is the rule of the day, with markets, companies, governments and individuals being rapidly buffeted by events and change. Technology is exacerbating that chaos by offering asymmetric leverage to more people. On the positive side, technologies like AI and drones can drastically improve the productivity of workers and artists to perform their c…
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Why immersion — and not realism — is critical for wargaming
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43:31Despite centuries of experience designing and playing war games, there is still very little rigorous research on how to evaluate what makes a good game. What’s the design goal? How much should (or even can) a game reflect reality? Are tighter or looser rules more likely to lead to productive learning? Is having fun important? That lack of rigorous …
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The Marrieds wrap up season 8 with a classic! We’re sad to be done with The Master for a little while, but excited for a change of pace. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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Humans hate uncertainty, which means we are constantly looking for means to narrowly consider the future and its implications. Planning, predicting and debating what’s next may be the mainstay of any organization in the world, but organizations rarely want to confront upcoming existential challenges or radical shifts in strategy. That’s where fores…
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AI and democracy are in great tension with each other. AI models are built by a priesthood of research specialists, unmoored from the will of the public. Yet, these very models are increasingly running important parts of the economy and increasingly government. How do we take advantage of these new capabilities without losing control of them? That’…
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Americans are an incredibly generous people
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33:47Amidst the upheaval in Washington, D.C. these days, one of the most notable and controversial decision from the second Trump administration has been the dismantling and closure of the United States Agency for International Development (or U.S.A.I.D.). In addition to funding humanitarian response and global public health initiatives (most notably wi…
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The Marrieds have a longer than intended chat about Colony in Space and then play the top 50 game to see who gets to pick a New Who story to revisit.By Married To Whp
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There are two sides of America. One is the country’s world-leading innovation centers, which offer the highest salaries and potential wealth creation anywhere in the world. The other is the bleak deindustrialized hinterlands where former mines and factories once dotted the landscape. Here, middle class jobs have been casualized or wiped out entirel…
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Luck rules our lives, so why don’t we teach more about it?
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36:02Cruel, petty and occasionally magnanimous, fates rule our lives, determining everything from our careers and romances to our financial success. Despite a burgeoning academic literature studying luck and the occasional theoretical probabilist complaining about Bayesian statistics, we haven’t brought the chance of chaotic complex systems into the cla…
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The Marrieds continue watching the year of The Master with a look at Claws of Axos. Opinions vary, but we sure had a good time. Enjoy!By Married To Who
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How Russia is bringing the cost of global sabotage to zero
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38:34When Russia launched its war on Ukraine in early 2022, it became the first land battle on European soil since World War II. Warfare has changed dramatically since then — from first-person view drones to AI-mediated strategic communications, as well as intelligence gathering and operations — and yet, critical continuities remain between Russia’s pre…
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Can you (or DOGE) product manage the government?
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41:27There’s a growing movement to apply the best practices of technology to the U.S. government. Whether it’s Elon Musk and DOGE (the so-called Department of Government Efficiency) or the myriad of chief technology and data officers across all levels of government, the hope is that technology can enhance productivity and minimize errors, offering a bet…
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The Marrieds continue the year of the Master with the 2nd story of season 8!By Married To Who
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The on-going collapse of the global commons
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26:58It’s been a bad few months (and years and decades) for the global commons. Chinese trawlers have repeatedly knocked out internet cables in international waters. Outer space is being militarized by Russia and others, threatening the demilitarized posture adopted by the Outer Space Treaty. Chinese hackers are using cyber weapons to infiltrate the U.S…
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Which companies will suffer with globalization’s reversal?
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37:09
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37:09The Washington Consensus of the past few decades that called for open markets, free trade and reduced regulation will officially die on Monday as Trump re-takes the presidency with a radically different economic program. Free trade is out and tariffs are in; globalization is dead and national sovereignty is the rule of the day. Such a change has ma…
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The 2024 Christmas Special! The Marrieds have a quick review of this year’s holiday offering and then rank all 19 holiday specials that Doctor Who has given us so far.By Married To Who
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Why financial booms and busts are the key to our progress
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44:47When we think of booms and busts, we often think of waste. The dot-com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the late 2010s crypto craze drew insane levels of capital into new markets, proceeded to overheat them, and then vaporized everything — leaving a trail of destruction in their wake. Is there a more positive way of looking at these feverish …
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A new series, a new companion, a new villain, a returning monster, this one has it all. But what do The Marrieds think?By Married To Who
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It’s been a year for the record books, and so it is with the Riskgaming podcast. We published 68 episodes this year across our main show and The Orthogonal Bet sub-series with Sam Arbesman (which we will have more to share next year!). We’ve had technologists, spies, policymakers, CEOs, authors, artists and all around renaissance wunderkinds on the…
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Introducing our new scenario, “Powering Up”
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36:59We are really excited to announce the publication of our third and latest Riskgaming scenario, "Powering Up: China’s Global Quest for Electric Vehicle Dominance.” Designed by Ian Curtiss over the course of the last year, we started beta trials of the game a few months ago with dozens of playtesters and just hosted launch runthroughs across the Unit…
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Why does America have the most expensive elevators in the world?
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42:09Recently in the Riskgaming newsletter (“The Productivity Precipice”), host Danny Crichton wrote about one of the biggest challenges facing America: how many of our industries — and particularly those in construction and building — are becoming some of the least-efficient in the industrialized world. Today’s podcast episode identifies yet another pr…
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The Titanic Lessons of VC with Josh Wolfe
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30:57Every quarter, Lux sends an update to our limited partners observing the macroeconomic environment, the changes in venture capital, and our current thinking regarding the present and future of science and technology. This time, we focused on “Titanic Lessons,” four classic parables from Greek mythology that elucidate our understanding of the world.…
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The Marrieds take a look back at a New Who story the want to revisit. This time it’s Father’s Day! We wanted a 9th Doctor story that we knew we liked and this was it. It’s been 6 years since we watched it last, so hear us talk about it again.By Married To Who
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The Orthogonal Bet: Dave Jilk on AI, Poetry, and the Future of AGI
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40:35Welcome to The Orthogonal Bet, an ongoing mini-series that explores the unconventional ideas and delightful patterns that shape our world. Hosted by Samuel Arbesman. In this episode, Sam speaks with Dave Jilk. Dave is a tech entrepreneur and writer. He’s done a ton: started multiple companies, including in AI, …
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Elections, global threats and happy hour with the Riskgaming team
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38:16It’s not every day that we can get our distributed Riskgaming team into one podcast studio, but we actually managed to do it from our NYC base, and with some drinks to boot. Joining host Danny Crichton is Lux’s Riskgaming director of programming Laurence Pevsner and our researcher, part-time columnist and all around utility handyman Michael Magnani…
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The future of defense manufacturing with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
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40:16Anduril has become one of the most-watched companies in Silicon Valley, and for good reason. Its vertiginous rise from small hardware laboratory to next-generation defense prime has entranced engineers and investors alike, and it has also garnered an increasingly long record of success in Washington DC, including its victory in securing the U.S. Ai…
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The Orthogonal Bet: Embracing Second Acts with Henry Oliver
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40:08Welcome to The Orthogonal Bet, an ongoing mini-series that explores the unconventional ideas and delightful patterns that shape our world. Hosted by Samuel Arbesman. In this episode, Sam speaks with the writer Henry Oliver. Henry is the author of the fantastic new book Second Act. This book is about the idea of l…
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