Two amateur sports bettors take a more subjective approach to sports betting. The pros use analytics, Jeff and Mike use the eyeball test. There are plenty of podcasts to listen to the ego driven professionals mock the public and tell you how you should bet. This podcast has some fun with it and owns betting as the public.
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Jeff Anton W Mike Knerr Podcasts
Jeff starts a month long focus on betting all the Florida teams. He then gives an explanation on the value of Wong teasers. A few bets on square favorites, ugly dogs and an ultimate decision to close.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff's suggestion to look at playing underdogs led to a stellar 2-10 mark across the board. Other than a winner betting the Jets, everything else was a miss. Such is the life of an NFL bettor.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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After a monster week for favorites, Jeff is expecting the bookmakers to tax bettors for betting the favs. He takes a look at some line moves creating great value on the underdogs. The Titans are looking at an ugly Betty title match and it's rah-rah Mike Tomlin time.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff is off a bounce back week and it was his best betting day of the season so far. The stock pick exercise is helping him get reads on the 49ers and Colts. Ultimate Decision got a huge win with Cleveland, but more important, Jeff finally picked a Dolphin game right! He also beat the closing line on the Bears and 49ers game while going against the…
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Jeff goes through his Sunday where he contemplated betting retirement after a frustrating morning football loss. Mike thinks the Patriots are homesick and the Colts are selling fake jewelry. Is this the week for the Jets? Jeff closes by suggesting how to get at handicaps through the prop market.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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It was another mediocre week as Jeff hit on the Steelers and Cardinals, but missed on Denver and Philly. Ugly Betty takes a loss as well.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff is going back to some original betting concepts and letting it fly this week with bets on the Eagles, Broncos and Steelers. He has some multi-verse wagering scenarios depending on who's quarterbacking for Arizona. He discusses how the media has jinxed Baker Mayfield with MVP talk. Some thoughts on three game road trips and a pick on the Patrio…
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By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 Week 5; The Bookmaker Is Not Your Friend
53:50
53:50
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53:50Jeff senses that the bookies are laying a trap this week. His ultimate decision is an attempt to bungle himself to fortune. Mike joins in as the guys each pick two teams to bet every week in October. Deep dives on 49ers vs. Rams, Colts vs. Raiders, Patriots vs. Bills and Cowboys vs. Jets.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff thought the Cowboys vs. Packers game was bad for the league. He talks about missing an opportunity to bet the Chiefs and mis-evaluating Geno Smith. Plenty of thoughts on the great, "almost" comeback by the Buccaneers.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff and Mike are talking week 4 including Tampa Bay vs. Philly, Jets Dolphins and more. Jeff talks about betting too many games and how sometimes, it's the best way to figure out your best handicaps.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff had a nice week against the bookies playing 0-2 dogs versus 2-0 favorites. Ugly Betty met Game of Falcon and whooped up on a dirty bird. Jeff thinks the Eagles have a figure it out specialist and the Raiders and Texans make everything look hard.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff is running solo this week with lots of trends and spots for some of the biggest games of the weekend. Mike calls in with picks for a couple of games as well. Deep dives into Baltimore, Cleveland, Tampa, Miami and some thoughts on the tush push. Mike and Jeff also find ways to compare common opponents that can give you a formula for finding val…
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Jeff had another winning week, but can't understand how based on how lousy his decision making was.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are making their picks for week two. Deep dives into Bears vs. Lions, Rams vs. Titans and the Florida fun trip continues with thoughts about the Dolphins and Bucs. The guys also discuss whether line moves based on the prior week need more consideration than they've been giving them. Jeff has another rant to make on poor game managemen…
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Jeff is going over all the big games from the first weekend of the NFL season. He is owning up to where his bets went wrong, and what predictions came to fruition.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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It is week one of the gambling season and Jeff has some trends for week one bettors that can help grab the early edge from the bookies. Mike then joins in to play a new investment game. Jeff closes things out with an Ugly Betty and Share of Square pick to get the bets rolling.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 NFC Preview; Boxed in by Ghosts
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1:01:58Mike and Jeff are previewing the NFC. Every division, lots of trends and our favorite bets.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are previewing the AFC. Looking at division odds and season win totals to find the biggest discrepancies between their sure-to-go-wrong predictions and the betting market to find some bet-on-teams. Jeff discusses some early season strategies involving continuity and high octane offense. Best future bets included.…
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Jeff is going into why refinement of the NFL point spread may not be as solid as previously thought. The betting pools and access to information have changed so much, that some reconsideration is required.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff is back to kick off the 2025 football gambling season. This one is all about parlays and NO he will not be discouraging you from going for the big score. The case is being made that parlays can be advantageous if common threads are found between games that make sense being grouped together.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Super Bowl
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15:56
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15:56Jeff was too scared to bet against the mysticism that is Patrick Mahomes. The game played out as Jeff saw it, but he still watched in disbelief as the Eagles routed the Chiefs. A good lesson on on when to press your bets and when to walk away, closes the season. Thank you all for listening!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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One more game to chase all the season's bad results. Jeff and Mike are finding ways to bet the big game. From spreads to totals to props and same game parlays. Jeff has 3 factors that must be considered for any game within 3 points. He is also advocating for inversely corelated parlays as we tell ourselves a story for how the props will relate to g…
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Conference Championships
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19:49
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19:49Jeff is going over the two conference championship games and why the referees should not be blamed for Buffalo's loss. He talks about the ref talk diminishing the legendary dynasty that is taking the field each and every week. He then goes into Washington finally facing the fatigue that comes from endless must win and road games. Thoughts on the ev…
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NFL 2025 Conference Championships; Bologna February
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45:33
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45:33Mike and Jeff are picking the conference championship games against the spread. Jeff goes into a therapy session about his cliff dive into gambling melancholy and how it led him to his decision for the AFC championship. Mike has to play devil's advocate in the NFC game and ponders some atmospheric philosophy. Referees are part of the discussion as …
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Divisional Round
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28:23
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28:23Jeff got crushed by mule field goal kickers and receivers without hands. It was financial ruin as missing out on half points led to the worst playoff round of betting Jeff has faced in two decades. The anger of losing is channeled into a rant against the leagues biased officiating when it comes to Patrick Mahomes.…
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NFL 2025 Divisional Round; Leave the One-Bar Helmets at Home
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51:06
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51:06Mike and Jeff are picking all four divisional playoff games against the spread. While taking turns picking their best bets, the other is forced to defend the other side. At the end of the day a handicap for all eight teams is provided so you can decide what sides are sharp and which ones are square. Jeff closes by explaining teaser protection and w…
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Wild Card Round
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27:43
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27:43The not so super, Super Wild Card weekend is in the books. Jeff is going over all of the games and where things went well for bettors and which teams fell short.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 Wildcard Weekend; Baker Believers
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46:52
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46:52Jeff and Mike are taking turns picking which playoff games they want to play. Each must defend the other side so nuance for each contest is argued. A great way to get opinions and handicaps for both sides of every game.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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It was a wild season finale for professional football and the betting markets. Jeff won despite overlooking the basics of starting quarterback play. He closes by discussing the idea of negatively correlated same game parlays.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 Week 18; Setting Up For Un-Success
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52:13Jeff is flying solo this week and breaking down all 16 games for the regular season finale. Every playoff scenario is covered including which teams will be resting starters. A complete guide to everything you need to know before challenging the bookies!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff only saved his wallet by barely betting yesterday as favorites blew away the dogs making the value of points seem unimportant. Some questionable coaching practices made the end game of some thrillers comical and frustrating. Just another week of gambling bliss.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff is flying solo for this episode but is up to the challenge of going over the entire slate of Saturday, Sunday and Monday's games to give you all of the playoff scenarios for each game. Lots of focus on team motivation for the playoff bound and what might be encouraging bad teams to play hard. Ugly Betty isn't left out as Jeff loves a team that…
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NFL 2024 Christmas Special; Lots of Angry Elves
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15:53
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15:53Jeff is flying solo on this and giving his thoughts on both Christmas Day games. The market is taking a stand on both games and Jeff is fading the moves in one game and following the tide in the other. Happy Holidays degenerates!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff talks about how much money he could have lost, being a positive from a week filled with losing picks. How's that for optimism? Jeff also questions if the NFL has created fatigue with too many games on too many days?By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff have been mathematically eliminated from Super Contest cash, so this week is all across the betting board. Betting philosophies for the end of the season and how to navigate the schedule to account for playoff scenarios. In depth breakdowns of the Falcons move to Penix, why the Ravens are under-rated and how injury reports could be fa…
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Jeff had the worst weekend betting of the season, yet it feels much like every other week. Football stinks.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL Week 15; Down in the Dumpster, Close to my Heart
1:00:05
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1:00:05The guys are settling into a losing season in the super contest but finding ways to pick some winners for their wallets. Some thoughts on losing streaks for good teams and bounce back spots for the bad ones. Game picks for Bills vs. Lions, all the AFC North games in honor of Hard Knocks, plus; Jets vs. Jags, Patriots vs. Cardinals, Colts vs. Bronco…
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Losing Stinks and the guys did plenty of it this weekend going 1-4 in the Super Contest. Time to own up to what went wrong.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Week 14; My Ayahuasca Is Kicking Back In
45:49
45:49
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45:49This one is jam packed full of game breakdowns as the guys are rich with narratives for the week 14 card. Ugly Betty follows Kirk Cousins to Minnesota. Anyone playing a Jersey team can be share-of-square. It's rah-rah time for the Norse course. The bonus categories have some keen handicaps that get Jeff and Mike looking to bet the week heavy.…
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The guys had a third straight losing week in the super contest, while Jeff found himself betting way too many games. Some decisions were solid, while others left nothing but Eberflus like head shakes.
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After back-to-back losing weeks in the Super Contest, Mike and Jeff are looking to get back on the winning track. Jeff doesn't think the Jets are quite as ugly as Mike makes them out to be and thinks that a once elite team better fits the bill. The guys are continuing to squarely bet the mile-high city and are backing Sam Darnold plus the hook once…
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NFL 2024 Thanksgiving Special; Goff Bean Casserole
33:14
33:14
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33:14It's time to gobble 'till you wobble and settle in for a full slate of football for Thanksgiving. Jeff and Mike are breaking down all the Thursday games and the black Friday game. Full handicaps including point spreads and totals for each game and most importantly, the guys make their ultimate decision on the best slice of pie to close the holiday …
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It was another losing week for the guys as they went 2-3 in the Super Contest. Jeff talks about the resolve bettors have to have to keep betting a team that destroys you one week. Changing the channel might change the result as the Vikings somehow lost a ten point lead in two minutes versus the Bears. The Lions keep running over underdog bettors, w…
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NFL 2024 Week 12; Confidence Is Killing My Bankroll
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50:57
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50:57It was a brutal week for Mike and Jeff in the Super Contest as the guys went 1-4. Jeff starts out with some revisionist history on how they easily could have put a 5-0 card together. He goes in depth about how look-ahead lines can reveal where the bookmakers are most desperate to give valuable numbers in order to draw two-way action. From there you…
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Week 11 was a bloodbath for Jeff and Mike. Bets were losing and the contest tanked, going 1-4. This is a quick one with not much to say other than got lots wrong.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike is back live and in person as the guys go through the week 11 slate of NFL point spreads. Lot's of contenders to choose from for ugly betty, but it's time for mayonnaise. The guys call dibs on fading the Bears for share-of-square. All three AFC North games are in contention, but one is Jeff's ultimate decision. Mike has a mile-high false finis…
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Jeff goes on a bit of a diatribe about the Colts vs. Bills game. The guys went 3-2 in the Super Contest. Mike's math on the Bucs proofed true while his square share of the Bears was proven false. Mike had two sure fire winners... well losers, but they covered the spread so they are winners in our book. Bengals and Broncos... welcome to the LBC ( Lo…
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Jeff is taking two after a great conversation about half of the week's games, was lost to to audio stupidity. Mike had some great points and Jeff is going to attempt to present them in a mixed version of each's handicap. Good trends and some procedural tips on finding value spots make their way.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff and Mike had a losing week in the Super Contest going 2-3. Jeff tries to sell that they lost the Denver game the way he thought they would lose. Ugly Betty isn't as bad as the Cowboys, while square for the Commanders works like a charm. The Hawks cash for Jeff, but lose in the contest. Sam Darnold tries to revert to his old ways, but the Vikin…
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