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477: Conquer the Crash by Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave
Manage episode 434183645 series 3593126
Jason Hartman shares sound advice on the top four reasons that a company fails. Steve Hochberg joins Jason to break down the methods of the Elliott Wave Principle. Listen to how the Elliott Wave Principle used collective investor psychology to predict 2020 stock market trends, without the influence of Coronavirus, as early as late 2019. Will we continue to see the stability of linear markets vs the volatility of cyclical markets, post-pandemic? Do recessions cause cautious businessmen or do cautious businessmen cause recessions?
Key Takeaways:
[2:30] From a discussion: the four primary reasons a company fails
[4:00] Number one, FEAR - Faults, education, appearing, real
[5:15] Number two, mindset
[9:00] Number three, lack of connections
[11:30] Number four, Lacking systems and process
[15:20] What is going on in the financial world?
[17:00] Unfolding the Elliott Wave Principle
[18:20] “Late 2019, the U.S. economy had some very strong economic numbers, the social mood was very elevated, but there were some underlying problems going on”
[19:20] The yield curve: the three month U.S. Treasury bill yield minus the ten year U.S. Treasury note, had inverted, which was a key indicator in the last months of 2019.
[23:00] Cyclical vs linear markets, post-pandemic
[28:00] Do recessions cause cautious businessmen or do cautious businessmen cause recessions?
[30:00] An Elliot Wave is a hierarchical fractal, it has self-similar patterns at all degrees of the scale
[30:45] Why do you prefer the DOW over the S&P?
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