7.5 - Forecasting Transformative AI from Biological Anchors with Ajeya Cotra

AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast

Content provided by Daniel Filan. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Daniel Filan or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://staging.podcastplayer.com/legal.

4y ago 1:03

MP3•Episode home

If you want to shape the development and forecast the consequences of powerful AI technology, it's important to know when it might appear. In this episode, I talk to Ajeya Cotra about her draft report "Forecasting Transformative AI from Biological Anchors" which aims to build a probabilistic model to answer this question. We talk about a variety of topics, including the structure of the model, what the most important parts are to get right, how the estimates should shape our behaviour, and Ajeya's current work at Open Philanthropy and perspective on the AI x-risk landscape.

Unfortunately, there was a problem with the recording of our interview, so we weren't able to release it in audio form, but you can read a transcript of the whole conversation.

Link to the transcript: axrp.net/episode/2021/05/28/episode-7_5-forecasting-transformative-ai-ajeya-cotra.html

Link to the draft report "Forecasting Transformative AI from Biological Anchors": drive.google.com/drive/u/1/folders/15ArhEPZSTYU8f012bs6ehPS6-xmhtBPP

54 episodes

#Science #Tech #Daniel Filan #Xrisk