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MP Materials (MP) just defied expectations with a stellar earnings beat and a massive technical rally, yet our analysis shows its stock is trading at a colossal premium to its fundamental $4.20 fair value. This rare earth miner is a vital piece of US national strategy, backed by zero 'Sell' ratings, but is currently burning cash with widening losses. Is this the definitive patriotic play for supply chain sovereignty, or a speculative short-squeeze ignoring financial gravity? We break down what the market’s really signaling—and what’s next for investors.

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