Manage episode 509299849 series 3682696
Three stories from this week reveal something fundamental changing about how you build businesses in 2025. The old VC playbook is dead - here's what's actually working now.
Story 1: Founders walking away from traditional VC (and it's strategic, not desperate):
- Mercury surveyed 1,500 early-stage startups about funding in 2025
- 66% of founders changed their capitalization strategy in the past year
- 73% raised under $5M total, using 4+ different funding sources
- 61% rely on contractor talent instead of full-time employees
- The new funding mix: consulting revenue, grants, strategic partnerships, small angel checks
The consulting-first approach that's working:
- Start with an idea, sell a service before building the product
- Customers understand services immediately - no onboarding friction
- Your first $100K should come from customers, not investors
- Once you have revenue, everything else becomes easier
- Free ebook coming soon on this approach at founderreality.com
Story 2: Perplexity got copied by everyone (Google, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini) and they're still thriving:
- Launched December 2022 as anti-Google answer engine
- Every big tech company copied their core features within months
- CEO's advice: "Assume big companies will copy anything good"
- Why they survived: competed on experience, not technology
- Fastest loading, fastest throughput, built brand around being anti-Google
My Green Sky competitor mistake:
- Obsessed over competitor that went public at $10B valuation
- Tried to copy what they were doing - completely wrong approach
- Green Sky got merged/sold multiple times, acquirer lost tons of money
- Lesson: Find why customers choose YOU over competitors and double down on that
- Don't copy competitors - build what only you can build
Story 3: The ARR theater problem hurting honest founders:
- Fortune investigation revealed founders abusing ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue)
- Clueless claimed to double ARR from $3.5M to $7M in one week
- Startups counting pilot programs with exit clauses as "locked revenue"
- VCs calling it "vibe revenue" - now skeptical of all ARR claims
- This hurts legitimate founders who report honest numbers
How to report revenue honestly:
- Locked revenue: Signed contracts with money in the bank
- Probable revenue: Strong pipeline with clear next steps
- Possible revenue: Everything else (don't count this as ARR)
- Use MRR for accurate representation, ARR only for full-year recurring revenue
- Build credibility with honest metrics, not inflated numbers
The playbook shift from 2019 to 2025:
- OLD: Raise VC first → build fast → scale aggressively → hockey stick growth
- NEW: Build revenue streams that can't be copied → ecosystem approach → community building → stack multiple funding sources
- Companies thriving in 2027 will have started with consulting revenue and customer relationships
- VC funding still important but no longer the only path
Your action items this week:
- Audit your revenue reporting - real numbers or "vibe revenue"?
- What happens if big tech copies you tomorrow?
- Can you sell your idea as a service before building the product?
- Start building content authority and community now
Bottom line: Stop chasing the 2019 playbook. Start with real revenue, build real relationships, create real value that can't be copied. That's how you build in 2025.
New episodes Monday/Wednesday/Friday at 9am EST. Real founder lessons, not startup theater.
Daily thoughts: @TheGeorgePu on Twitter/X
Full episodes: founderreality.com
Email: [email protected]
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