Manage episode 513638634 series 3682696
Wall Street Journal just proved what every founder already knows: AI isn't leveling the playing field - it's making superstars 10x better while average performers fall further behind. You have 18 months before this gap becomes permanent.
Story 1: AI is widening the performance gap (not closing it):
- Wall Street Journal research: AI makes superstars even MORE super, not helping average performers catch up
- Superstars master tools faster, have domain expertise for better prompts, use AI systematically with frameworks
- Average employees wait for guidance, stick to basic features, get less credit
- Gap going to be way more brutal for founders than employees
The three types of builders (which one are you?):
Type 1: Building the old way (80-90% of founders)
- Still using manual processes, hiring for every job function
- Skeptical about AI beyond basic ChatGPT usage
- Occasionally ask "give me hiring template" but nothing significant
- Look at Glassdoor/Indeed/LinkedIn - people still hiring tons of office jobs
Type 2: Using AI as a tool (10-20% of remaining founders - probably you)
- Using lots of AI tools (Claude, Gemini, ChatGPT, Cursor)
- BUT not fundamentally changing how they build
- AI is reference point, not a system - on-demand questions only
- Still thinking in old paradigm - following Paul Graham essays from 2000s/2010s
- Better than Type 1 but stuck because changing perception is hard
Type 3: AI native from ground up (the future)
- Tend to be younger (straight out of college) but also late 20s/30s/40s who made mental shift
- Every workflow embedded with AI - not just for name, but genuine benefit
- Every hiring decision: "Can AI do this + contractors?" not "Should we hire employee?"
- Building products that needed 10 engineers with just 2 engineers using AI
- Same quality as Type 1/2 but 80% fewer people
The scary reality - gap won't show for 12-24 months:
- Technology only 2 years old, everyone's revenue still looks same
- But Type 3 founders building 2-5x faster, learning 10x faster
- Compounding knowledge at rate Type 1/2 can't replicate
- In a year it'll show up, in 2 years impossible to catch up
- While you're figuring out "how to use AI better" they're building their 2nd and 3rd companies
My SimpleDirect reality:
- Have 2 engineers now (had 6-8 two years ago) - just as productive, maybe more
- Built 2-3 different products past 2 years (thanks GitHub Copilot, Cursor, Claude Code)
- Giving SimpleDirect Financing 90-day AI sprint to test new customer profile/distribution
- Solo work using Claude to draft articles, social posts, brainstorm strategies
- 2-3 years ago would've needed 10+ people for what we do now
- Productivity faster, expenses way lower
If you're employed - this should excite you, not drain you:
Opportunity 1: Maintain performance with less time
- Friends using AI to do jobs in 50-70% of time it used to take
- Used to work 9-5, now work 12-5 and exceed expectations
- What to do with extra 30-40% time? Build side projects, learn skills
- Old excuse "my job too demanding" doesn't hold anymore
- Build revenue BEFORE you quit - that's critical
Before quitting your job, need:
- 6-12 months runway saved (I prefer 12-18 months)
- Stable consulting income from 3-5 diverse clients (80-100% of current income)
- Clear validation for what you're building
- Consulting model: Solve B2B problem, sell service not product first
- Free ebook on this at founderreality.com
Opportunity 2: Become indispensable
- Be the AI expert everyone turns to when stuck
- Figure out AI workflows that 10x output, share with colleagues
- Know people in "forward-thinking" orgs who can't figure out how to use Notion (mind-boggling but happens)
- Two benefits: (1) Too valuable to let go = job security, (2) Skills/reputation transfer when you leave
Bottom line on Story 1: In 18 months, gap will be permanent. Act now or it'll be too late.
The 4-question AI positioning audit:
- Am I using AI just as tool or is AI core to how I think about building?
- Can I reclaim 20-30% of my work time minimum using AI? (If not, you're not trying)
- (If employed) Am I becoming the AI expert in my organization?
- (If founder) Would my business collapse if AI tools disappeared tomorrow? (Yes = good, that's AI-dependent. No/just discomfort = not AI-native enough)
Story 2: Distribution first, product second (validation from Twitter founders):
- New breed of founders building TikTok audiences, newsletter lists, communities BEFORE products
- Logic: Copying products trivial with AI, but audience moats aren't
- New workflow: Build audience first → validate with audience second → build product third for that audience
- NOT: Build → validate → ship (that's old way)
My biggest regret:
- Thought distribution didn't matter for blue-collar SimpleDirect customers
- Made excuse: "They use phones, pen/paper, Excel - distribution won't work"
- WRONG - companies built successful audiences with Facebook groups posting memes
- Could've opened TikTok talking about how contractors/roofers/HVAC can use tech to make more money
- Would've built loyal blue-collar audience instead of cold calls and outbound
- If done this years ago on Instagram/YouTube, selling would've been way easier
Inbound vs outbound reality:
- Always prioritize inbound especially for B2B
- Outbound costs tons, doesn't work well anymore (we all get 3-5 LinkedIn cold messages daily)
- As AI-minded, budget-conscious founder: Do marketing first
- I've tried hiring salespeople multiple times - not worth it early on
Your distribution-first action plan:
- Start on day MINUS 100 (not day one - if figuring out distribution on day 1, you're late)
- By day 50-100 when you launch, you'll have 5,000-10,000 loyal people waiting
- Pick your platform: E-commerce = Instagram/TikTok/YouTube Shorts, Tech = Twitter/LinkedIn/Newsletters
- Post 3x per week for 90 days minimum about problem space (not yourself)
- Identify 3-5 distribution partners (remember ConvertKit + Pat Flynn affiliate success)
- Test demand with landing page (use Webflow/Lovable, no code needed - I coded mine from scratch 5 years ago, you can do no-code in 1-2 days now)
Social media is no longer nice-to-have:
- Used to be "nice to have for awareness"
- Now it's your: Distribution infrastructure, Business pipeline, Product validation engine
- Don't feel guilty spending work time on social - it's part of strategy now, not "extra"
Story 3: ChatGPT App Store could be your 2008 moment:
- Just announced, 800 million weekly active users
- Working with Booking.com, Expedia, Figma, Coursera, Zillow, Canva, Uber, Lyft coming
- Launched App SDK Preview - Sam says "new generation of interactive, adaptive, personalized apps"
- I tried Spotify plugin - not perfect but works, it's raw (that's where opportunity is)
Historical platform moments:
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