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Doomberg: Policy Uncertainty is The New Systemic Risk
Manage episode 477567024 series 3039185
What happens when political ambition trumps economic reality? Doomberg lays it bare. In this episode, Doomberg returns to unpack the dangerous disconnect between Washington’s four-year campaign cycle and the multi-decade timelines required for industrial and energy investments. From Trump’s tariff threats to the fragility of global auto supply chains, we explore why the U.S. economy may be hurtling toward a recession of its own making. Doomberg dives deep into America's squandered energy advantage, China's calculated rise, and how short-term politics is colliding with long-term capital planning. If you care about markets, manufacturing, or the future of Western economic resilience — you don’t want to miss this one. Chapters: 00:00 – Introduction: Supply Chains, Tariffs, and Recession Risk 04:00 – Trump’s Strategy: Diagnosis vs. Execution 08:00 – Six Reasons Auto Tariffs Will Backfire 13:30 – EVs, China, and the Renewable Illusion 17:00 – Energy Politics: North America, Europe, and Asia Compared 22:00 – Reserves, Regulation, and the Bankability Crisis 27:30 – Capital Cycle vs. Political Cycle: The Core Mismatch 32:00 – Resource Riches and the Western Hemisphere Opportunity 39:00 – Natural Gas: Oversupplied, Undervalued, Unstoppable 44:30 – Energy Market Behavior: Spikes, Gluts, and Investor Strategy 49:00 – Why Projects Get Built Under Republicans, Profits Under Democrats 53:00 – Tariffs or Chaos? The Trump–Carney–Canada Connection 58:00 – Europe's Military Fantasy Meets Energy Reality 1:03:00 – War Fatigue, NATO, and the Illusion of Global Reach 1:09:00 – Final Thoughts: Diplomacy, Decline, and the Danger of Delusion
#RecessionWatch, #EVRevolution, #TradeWar, #EnergyPolicy, #BYDvsTesla, #SupplyChainDisruption, #MadeInAmerica, #IndustrialPolicy, #GeopoliticalRisk, #CapitalMarkets
200 episodes
Manage episode 477567024 series 3039185
What happens when political ambition trumps economic reality? Doomberg lays it bare. In this episode, Doomberg returns to unpack the dangerous disconnect between Washington’s four-year campaign cycle and the multi-decade timelines required for industrial and energy investments. From Trump’s tariff threats to the fragility of global auto supply chains, we explore why the U.S. economy may be hurtling toward a recession of its own making. Doomberg dives deep into America's squandered energy advantage, China's calculated rise, and how short-term politics is colliding with long-term capital planning. If you care about markets, manufacturing, or the future of Western economic resilience — you don’t want to miss this one. Chapters: 00:00 – Introduction: Supply Chains, Tariffs, and Recession Risk 04:00 – Trump’s Strategy: Diagnosis vs. Execution 08:00 – Six Reasons Auto Tariffs Will Backfire 13:30 – EVs, China, and the Renewable Illusion 17:00 – Energy Politics: North America, Europe, and Asia Compared 22:00 – Reserves, Regulation, and the Bankability Crisis 27:30 – Capital Cycle vs. Political Cycle: The Core Mismatch 32:00 – Resource Riches and the Western Hemisphere Opportunity 39:00 – Natural Gas: Oversupplied, Undervalued, Unstoppable 44:30 – Energy Market Behavior: Spikes, Gluts, and Investor Strategy 49:00 – Why Projects Get Built Under Republicans, Profits Under Democrats 53:00 – Tariffs or Chaos? The Trump–Carney–Canada Connection 58:00 – Europe's Military Fantasy Meets Energy Reality 1:03:00 – War Fatigue, NATO, and the Illusion of Global Reach 1:09:00 – Final Thoughts: Diplomacy, Decline, and the Danger of Delusion
#RecessionWatch, #EVRevolution, #TradeWar, #EnergyPolicy, #BYDvsTesla, #SupplyChainDisruption, #MadeInAmerica, #IndustrialPolicy, #GeopoliticalRisk, #CapitalMarkets
200 episodes
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