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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down the AI-driven capital cycle reshaping markets.
From Nvidia’s record-shattering deals to hyperscalers pouring trillions into infrastructure, Kai explains why today’s AI boom echoes past capital cycles—and why investors may be missing the real risk.
In this episode:
– Why mega-cap tech is shifting from asset-light to asset-heavy
– The historic link between rapid asset growth and underperformance
– Why concentration in the “Magnificent Seven” is an overlooked AI risk
– Lessons from the dot-com and railroad booms that apply to AI today
– How to position across the full AI adoption cycle
Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.
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Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!
Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEs
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V
Chapters
1. Setup: Host, Guest, Stakes (00:00:00)
2. AI CapEx Turns Tech Asset-Heavy (00:01:47)
3. Parallels With Past Booms (00:03:55)
4. Debt, SPVs, Cross-Holdings Risks (00:06:20)
5. Asset Growth Factor Explained (00:07:55)
6. Why Physical CapEx Underperforms (00:10:40)
7. Concentration Risk in Indices (00:12:55)
8. Picks, Shovels, And Beneficiaries (00:14:50)
9. Playbook: Rotate Through Adoption Waves (00:16:35)
10. Where To Learn More & Closing (00:19:05)
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