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In this exclusive webinar hosted by Michael Gayed of Lead-Lag Media, Jay Hatfield from Infrastructure Capital shares his market outlook for 2025 — including why he believes the Fed will have to cut rates, why housing hasn’t crashed, and why the next market move could surprise to the upside.

Jay breaks down:

  • Why the Fed has caused nearly every post-WWII recession
  • How inflation is finally cooling (and why CPI is misleading)
  • The real reason the U.S. avoided a recession in 2024
  • His S&P 500 target of 7,000 for 2025
  • Bullish takes on housing, tech, small caps, and preferreds
  • Why regional banks and credit fears are overblown
  • His contrarian forecast for the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#Markets #Investing #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JayHatfield #MichaelGayed #InfrastructureCapital #StockMarketOutlook

Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!
Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEs
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

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Chapters

1. Welcome, Format, And CE Housekeeping (00:00:00)

2. Firm Overview And Fund Lineup (00:02:05)

3. Methodology: GARP, Yields, And Options (00:04:05)

4. Macro Lens: Money Base And Recessions (00:05:25)

5. Housing’s New Cycle And Tech Tailwinds (00:07:15)

6. CPI, Shelter Lags, And Fed Cuts Path (00:09:05)

7. Budget Deficit, Tariffs, And Rates (00:10:55)

8. Predicting Yields And Equity Multiples (00:12:35)

9. Why No Recession Yet (00:14:35)

10. Growth Outlook: Housing Plus Tech (00:16:55)

11. Investment Drives Cycles, Not Consumption (00:19:18)

12. Ten-Year Vs Fed Funds Explained (00:21:18)

13. Monetarism Vindicated Over Keynesianism (00:22:38)

14. Preferreds, High Yield, And Active Edges (00:23:48)

15. Regional Banks, Credit Fears, And KKR (00:25:28)

16. Small Caps, Tech Gravity, And Rotation (00:28:15)

17. Earnings, Expectations, And Risk Reward (00:30:05)

18. Active Vs Passive: Where It Matters (00:31:45)

19. Final Market Stance And Playbook (00:33:15)

20. Dollar View, Gold Implications, Closing (00:34:55)

874 episodes