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First American's Kushi: Housing market will remain weak, even when rates fall

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Manage episode 480732591 series 30363
Content provided by Money Life with Chuck Jaffe and Chuck Jaffe. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Money Life with Chuck Jaffe and Chuck Jaffe or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://staging.podcastplayer.com/legal.

Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American Financial Corp., says she expects the housing market to remain sluggish for as mortgage rates remain above 6 percent; while she expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates during the second half of the year, she's not expecting conditions to change much. That said, she noted that First American's Housing Recession Indicator — based on the trends of eight economic variables — is not flashing red, largely because new home sales have remained strong enough to overcome the other headwinds that home builders are facing. David Trainer, founder and president, New Constructs, puts electric-vehicle maker Rivian back in the Danger Zone; the stock first appeared there as an IPO and is way down since, but Trainer questions whether there is any way to hit the brakes on what he sees as a slide that ends near zero. Lester Jones, chief economist for the National Beer Wholesalers Association, discusses the latest Beer Purchasers' Index, which is an economic buzzkill as it shows continued contraction as buyers are increasingly pessimistic about prospects for the summer and fall. Plus Chuck responds to two listeners concerned with the show's balance and — by revisiting one of last week's guests — provides a reminder that politics and portfolio strategies don't mix well.

  continue reading

2114 episodes

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Manage episode 480732591 series 30363
Content provided by Money Life with Chuck Jaffe and Chuck Jaffe. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Money Life with Chuck Jaffe and Chuck Jaffe or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://staging.podcastplayer.com/legal.

Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American Financial Corp., says she expects the housing market to remain sluggish for as mortgage rates remain above 6 percent; while she expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates during the second half of the year, she's not expecting conditions to change much. That said, she noted that First American's Housing Recession Indicator — based on the trends of eight economic variables — is not flashing red, largely because new home sales have remained strong enough to overcome the other headwinds that home builders are facing. David Trainer, founder and president, New Constructs, puts electric-vehicle maker Rivian back in the Danger Zone; the stock first appeared there as an IPO and is way down since, but Trainer questions whether there is any way to hit the brakes on what he sees as a slide that ends near zero. Lester Jones, chief economist for the National Beer Wholesalers Association, discusses the latest Beer Purchasers' Index, which is an economic buzzkill as it shows continued contraction as buyers are increasingly pessimistic about prospects for the summer and fall. Plus Chuck responds to two listeners concerned with the show's balance and — by revisiting one of last week's guests — provides a reminder that politics and portfolio strategies don't mix well.

  continue reading

2114 episodes

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