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In this episode, Will sits down with Mitch to tackle the question everyone is asking right now are Bitcoin market cycles dead or just evolving. They break down why no one can truly call the top, how halving cycles used to line up perfectly with macro liquidity, and why this cycle is different with ETFs, institutions and regulatory clarity in the mix. Mitch explains the key on chain and technical signals he is watching, how macro factors like rate cuts and balance sheet expansion feed into Bitcoin, and why ETF flows and the so called silent IPO matter more than ever. They wrap with how everyday investors should think about tops, risk management and why having experts in your corner beats trying to time the market on your own.

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Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Introduction

00:00:40 - No one called the last 80 percent crash

00:01:00 - Classic cycle timing and on chain metrics

00:01:35 - Why Mitch thinks the top is not in yet

00:02:04 - How macro conditions changed the Bitcoin game

00:02:37 - Halvings, liquidity and rate regimes

00:03:15 - Bitcoin in a world of ETFs and institutions

00:03:37 - Why retail cannot just follow old cycle charts

00:04:10 - Bitcoin as high beta to stock markets

00:04:39 - Why you need experts watching the market daily

00:05:29 - Using technical levels to invalidate a bull thesis

00:06:21 - How real bear markets actually begin

00:06:33 - Fundamentals that can still drive price higher

00:06:44 - Mid roll Crypto Academy and analyst team

00:07:13 - Regulatory clarity and the Genius Act

00:07:34 - ETF flows and the new marginal buyer

00:07:57 - Why 100k has held and pullbacks are smaller

00:08:16 - Silent IPO whales to institutions

00:08:31 - Why this cycle feels so different to past tops

00:09:00 - Mitch’s view on whether the top is in

00:09:10 - Why obsessing over the exact top is a trap

00:09:32 - You cannot know the future you can only respond

00:09:50 - Plug into expert guidance