The power of Data is undeniable. And unharnessed - it’s nothing but chaos. Making data your ally. Using it to lead with confidence and clarity. Host Jess Carter is solving problems in real-time to reveal what’s possible. Helping communities and people thrive. This is Data Driven Leadership, a show brought to you by Resultant.
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Content provided by Stephan Livera. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Stephan Livera or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://staging.podcastplayer.com/legal.
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The Dynamics of Bitcoin's Price Growth with PlanC and Sminston | SLP621
Manage episode 453198969 series 2408472
Content provided by Stephan Livera. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Stephan Livera or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://staging.podcastplayer.com/legal.
PlanC and Sminston to discuss the power law as it applies to Bitcoin. They explore the implications of power law on Bitcoin's price, volatility, and market dynamics, emphasizing its predictive capabilities and the diminishing returns over time. The conversation focuses on the technical aspects of power law, its historical accuracy, and potential factors that could disrupt its validity. The hosts also touch on the S-curve phenomenon in Bitcoin adoption and the overall health of the Bitcoin market. Bitcoin's price projections, the concept of extended cycles, and the implications of the power law on Bitcoin's future are a few things which are talked about too, along with stability of Bitcoin's price model, potential market fluctuations, and the impact of adoption and liquidity on Bitcoin's growth. Lastly, PlanC and Sminston emphasize the importance of understanding market dynamics and the historical patterns that Bitcoin has followed, providing insights for investors and enthusiasts alike.
Takeaways
🔸Power law indicates diminishing returns for Bitcoin over time.
🔸Bitcoin's volatility has been decreasing systematically.
🔸The power law model has shown a 4.5% accuracy in price predictions.
🔸A significant event would be needed to disrupt Bitcoin's power law.
🔸The power law provides a more stable growth model compared to exponential growth.
🔸Bitcoin's adoption is a gradual process, not an overnight phenomenon.
🔸The R squared value of the power law is increasing, indicating better fit.
🔸Power law explains Bitcoin's price history with high accuracy.
🔸Market dynamics can fluctuate, but the power law remains intact.
🔸Understanding power law helps in making informed investment decisions. Bitcoin's price can fluctuate significantly, with projections ranging from 35k to 400k.
🔸The stability of Bitcoin's price model is largely established, with 95% confidence in projections.
🔸Adoption and liquidity cycles are crucial in determining Bitcoin's market behavior.
🔸The concept of extended cycles suggests that Bitcoin's growth may not follow traditional four-year patterns.
🔸Historical data shows that Bitcoin has followed a power law growth pattern, indicating long-term stability.
🔸Market dynamics are influenced by institutional adoption and liquidity conditions.
🔸The potential for a muted bear market exists, with less drastic price drops anticipated.
🔸Understanding the power law can provide insights into Bitcoin's future price movements.
🔸The conversation highlights the importance of data analysis in predicting market trends.
🔸Investors should remain aware of the evolving landscape of Bitcoin and its implications for the future.
Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:29) - How does Power Law apply to Bitcoin?; Comparing it to Saylor’s Bitcoin24 model projections
(04:54) - The math behind Power Law
(08:23) - Is Bitcoin on a path of diminishing returns?
(13:09) - How accurate is the Power Law model?; Power Law Vs S2F comparison
(18:58) - What differentiates Power Law from other models?
(22:36) - What could ‘break’ the Power Law?
(25:09) - Sponsors
(28:17) - The S-curve phenomenon in Bitcoin adoption
(34:19) - Bitcoin price projections and Market analysis
(39:11) - Sponsors
(49:35) - What can be considered an ‘extended cycle’?
(55:24) - Sminston With‘s ‘Bitcoin Decay Channel Oscillator’
(1:02:55) - Power Law and its implications for Bitcoin's Future
Links:
Best Bitcoin Data Family - https://x.com/i/communities/1856486530056929427
Sponsors:
CoinKite.com (code LIVERA)
Stephan Livera links:
Follow me on X: @stephanlivera
671 episodes
Share
Manage episode 453198969 series 2408472
Content provided by Stephan Livera. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Stephan Livera or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://staging.podcastplayer.com/legal.
PlanC and Sminston to discuss the power law as it applies to Bitcoin. They explore the implications of power law on Bitcoin's price, volatility, and market dynamics, emphasizing its predictive capabilities and the diminishing returns over time. The conversation focuses on the technical aspects of power law, its historical accuracy, and potential factors that could disrupt its validity. The hosts also touch on the S-curve phenomenon in Bitcoin adoption and the overall health of the Bitcoin market. Bitcoin's price projections, the concept of extended cycles, and the implications of the power law on Bitcoin's future are a few things which are talked about too, along with stability of Bitcoin's price model, potential market fluctuations, and the impact of adoption and liquidity on Bitcoin's growth. Lastly, PlanC and Sminston emphasize the importance of understanding market dynamics and the historical patterns that Bitcoin has followed, providing insights for investors and enthusiasts alike.
Takeaways
🔸Power law indicates diminishing returns for Bitcoin over time.
🔸Bitcoin's volatility has been decreasing systematically.
🔸The power law model has shown a 4.5% accuracy in price predictions.
🔸A significant event would be needed to disrupt Bitcoin's power law.
🔸The power law provides a more stable growth model compared to exponential growth.
🔸Bitcoin's adoption is a gradual process, not an overnight phenomenon.
🔸The R squared value of the power law is increasing, indicating better fit.
🔸Power law explains Bitcoin's price history with high accuracy.
🔸Market dynamics can fluctuate, but the power law remains intact.
🔸Understanding power law helps in making informed investment decisions. Bitcoin's price can fluctuate significantly, with projections ranging from 35k to 400k.
🔸The stability of Bitcoin's price model is largely established, with 95% confidence in projections.
🔸Adoption and liquidity cycles are crucial in determining Bitcoin's market behavior.
🔸The concept of extended cycles suggests that Bitcoin's growth may not follow traditional four-year patterns.
🔸Historical data shows that Bitcoin has followed a power law growth pattern, indicating long-term stability.
🔸Market dynamics are influenced by institutional adoption and liquidity conditions.
🔸The potential for a muted bear market exists, with less drastic price drops anticipated.
🔸Understanding the power law can provide insights into Bitcoin's future price movements.
🔸The conversation highlights the importance of data analysis in predicting market trends.
🔸Investors should remain aware of the evolving landscape of Bitcoin and its implications for the future.
Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:29) - How does Power Law apply to Bitcoin?; Comparing it to Saylor’s Bitcoin24 model projections
(04:54) - The math behind Power Law
(08:23) - Is Bitcoin on a path of diminishing returns?
(13:09) - How accurate is the Power Law model?; Power Law Vs S2F comparison
(18:58) - What differentiates Power Law from other models?
(22:36) - What could ‘break’ the Power Law?
(25:09) - Sponsors
(28:17) - The S-curve phenomenon in Bitcoin adoption
(34:19) - Bitcoin price projections and Market analysis
(39:11) - Sponsors
(49:35) - What can be considered an ‘extended cycle’?
(55:24) - Sminston With‘s ‘Bitcoin Decay Channel Oscillator’
(1:02:55) - Power Law and its implications for Bitcoin's Future
Links:
Best Bitcoin Data Family - https://x.com/i/communities/1856486530056929427
Sponsors:
CoinKite.com (code LIVERA)
Stephan Livera links:
Follow me on X: @stephanlivera
671 episodes
All episodes
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Similar to Stephan Livera Podcast
The power of Data is undeniable. And unharnessed - it’s nothing but chaos. Making data your ally. Using it to lead with confidence and clarity. Host Jess Carter is solving problems in real-time to reveal what’s possible. Helping communities and people thrive. This is Data Driven Leadership, a show brought to you by Resultant.
…
continue reading
Africa-focused technology, digital and innovation ecosystem insight and commentary.
…
continue reading
Show notes are at https://stevelitchfield.com/sshow/chat.html
…
continue reading
The American healthcare system is one of the most innovative in the world. But it’s also riddled with complex challenges, such as access to affordable medications, inefficiency and administrative burdens, and communication barriers between providers. There’s clearly a better way—and at Surescripts, we have a unique sightline into what that may be. In this series, host Melanie Marcus, Chief Marketing Officer of Surescripts, sits down with today’s most inspiring and innovative leaders in healt ...
…
continue reading
Exploring React Native Together
…
continue reading
Big tech is transforming every aspect of our world. But how, and at what cost? This season of Land of the Giants – The Disney Dilemma – focuses on Disney’s ability to weather the ups and downs of the business cycle and changing tastes and explores what has kept it successful for over 100 years. The entertainment giant has leveraged nostalgia and its intellectual property to build a beloved brand, but after an acquisition spree that included Marvel, Lucasfilm, and 20th Century Fox, can it sus ...
…
continue reading
A weekly talk show taking a pragmatic look at the art and business of Software Development and the world of technology.
…
continue reading
Download This Show is your weekly guide to the world of media, culture, and technology. From social media to gadgets, streaming services to privacy issues. Each week Rae Johnston and guests take a fun, deep dive into how technology is reshaping our lives.
…
continue reading
Flash Forward is a show about possible (and not so possible) future scenarios. What would the warranty on a sex robot look like? How would diplomacy work if we couldn’t lie? Could there ever be a fecal transplant black market? (Complicated, it wouldn’t, and yes, respectively, in case you’re curious.) Hosted and produced by award winning science journalist Rose Eveleth, each episode combines audio drama and journalism to go deep on potential tomorrows, and uncovers what those futures might re ...
…
continue reading
Android Backstage, a podcast by and for Android developers. Hosted by developers from the Android engineering team, this show covers topics of interest to Android programmers, with in-depth discussions and interviews with engineers on the Android team at Google. Subscribe to Android Developers YouTube → https://goo.gle/AndroidDevs
…
continue reading
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