The Data Doesn’t Add Up: Inflation Falls, But So Does Spending (And Walmart says prices will rise.)

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22d ago 7:25

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In this episode, I review the latest U.S. inflation report, which shows the annual rate dropped to 2.3%—a four-year low. But while energy prices fell sharply, core inflation remains sticky, and shelter costs are still elevated.

Also in this episode:

📉 Retail sales slowed in April, rising just 0.1%, with key consumer segments pulling back despite resilient dining and home improvement spending.
🧾 The “control group” of retail sales, used to estimate GDP, turned negative—which raises concerns about broader economic weakness.
🏡 Core inflation remains stuck at 2.8%, with housing costs keeping overall inflation higher than the Fed would like.
📊 Walmart warns of rising prices due to new tariffs, affecting everything from toys to groceries.

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