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💸 Know Your Fees: Effective Annual Cost (EAC)

  • Not all fees are created equal — EAC is the real number to watch.

  • Applies to retirement products, LISPs, and unit trusts — not to stockbrokers.

  • 📊 Understand the difference:

    • TER (Total Expense Ratio)

    • TIC (Total Investment Cost)

    • EAC (includes platform + advisor + product fees)

  • 🍏🍏 Apples-to-apples: Compare funds using EAC.

  • 🎯 Target an EAC between 1.1%–1.5%.

  • 💬 Negotiate! Advisor and platform fees are often flexible.

  • 🔍 Beware: Some brokers refuse to give the number — that’s a red flag.

  • ❗ Platform fees: Flat > Percentage. Otherwise, your 1% could become R100,000 in fees!

🛢️ Oil Wipeout & Geopolitics
  • Weekend U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear sites 🔥 led to… a shrug from the oil market.

  • 📈 Oil hit $81.40 early Monday, then crashed to $67.70 by Wednesday.

  • That’s a $14 drop, nearly 20% down — massive.

  • 🌍 Global market awash with oil:

    • 🇻🇪 Venezuela, 🇮🇷 Iran, 🇷🇺 Russia all pumping through sanctions

    • ⛽ OPEC+ supply increases kicking in soon

  • ⛴️ Straits of Hormuz risk overstated — markets unconvinced

  • 📉 Oil heading to $60? Possibly.

⚙️ Sasol: Much Ouch

  • ❌ Not a fan of Sasol — never been on that bus

  • 📉 Sasol collapsed this week: down 14–15% Tuesday

  • Currently hovering at R96, with support around R77

  • 🧪 Chemicals weak, oil down, Rand strong = triple whammy

  • ⚠️ Not going bust, but it’s in real pain

💱 Rand Rollercoaster
  • 💵 USD/ZAR down from 18.15 to 17.76

  • 🔻 Dollar weakness a key driver

  • 🎯 R17 still very much in play

  • 😬 Strong Rand not helping exporters like Sassol

🏦 Fed Watch: FOMC & Powell
  • 🕊️ No rate change last week, as expected

  • 📣 Powell grilled by Congress — MAGA heat incoming

  • 📉 Fed still guiding for two cuts in 2025

  • Data outlook softening:

    • 🏭 GDP ↓

    • 📈 Inflation ↑

    • 👷 Unemployment ↑

  • 🧠 Powell's just doing his job — not playing politics

  • SA’s MPC, on the other hand… maybe a bit behind the curve

⚗️ PGMs: Shiny Again?
  • 💬 Chat with Old Mutual: rotating out of gold, into PGMs

  • 🔼 Platinum at 10-year highs, last seen in Oct 2014

  • 🇿🇼 🇿🇦 Platinum from Southern Africa; 🇨🇦 🇷🇺 Palladium elsewhere

  • 📦 Stockpiles, especially palladium, still working through

  • 🚗 EVs: Now only expected to be 40% of sales by 2035

    • Existential crisis for PGMs? Delayed… for now

  • 🧊 Recycling paused — not worth it at these prices

  • 🥇 Pick your poison: Impala, Northam, Sibanye Stillwater*…

    • 📦 Sibanye with PGMs, palladium & gold exposure

🪙 Gold: Still Glowing
  • 🧲 Pullback to support around R3,330/g

  • Could go as low as R3,200 — but not rolling over

  • 💡 Structural shift in how investors (especially in developed markets) view gold

  • 🛡️ Post-2022 shift: Central banks hedging against future sanctions with more gold

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

All charts by KoyFin | Get 10% off your order

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561 episodes