Manage episode 490704355 series 17433
💸 Know Your Fees: Effective Annual Cost (EAC)
Not all fees are created equal — EAC is the real number to watch.
Applies to retirement products, LISPs, and unit trusts — not to stockbrokers.
📊 Understand the difference:
TER (Total Expense Ratio)
TIC (Total Investment Cost)
EAC (includes platform + advisor + product fees)
🍏🍏 Apples-to-apples: Compare funds using EAC.
🎯 Target an EAC between 1.1%–1.5%.
💬 Negotiate! Advisor and platform fees are often flexible.
🔍 Beware: Some brokers refuse to give the number — that’s a red flag.
❗ Platform fees: Flat > Percentage. Otherwise, your 1% could become R100,000 in fees!
Weekend U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear sites 🔥 led to… a shrug from the oil market.
📈 Oil hit $81.40 early Monday, then crashed to $67.70 by Wednesday.
That’s a $14 drop, nearly 20% down — massive.
🌍 Global market awash with oil:
🇻🇪 Venezuela, 🇮🇷 Iran, 🇷🇺 Russia all pumping through sanctions
⛽ OPEC+ supply increases kicking in soon
⛴️ Straits of Hormuz risk overstated — markets unconvinced
📉 Oil heading to $60? Possibly.
⚙️ Sasol: Much Ouch
❌ Not a fan of Sasol — never been on that bus
📉 Sasol collapsed this week: down 14–15% Tuesday
Currently hovering at R96, with support around R77
🧪 Chemicals weak, oil down, Rand strong = triple whammy
⚠️ Not going bust, but it’s in real pain
💵 USD/ZAR down from 18.15 to 17.76
🔻 Dollar weakness a key driver
🎯 R17 still very much in play
😬 Strong Rand not helping exporters like Sassol
🕊️ No rate change last week, as expected
📣 Powell grilled by Congress — MAGA heat incoming
📉 Fed still guiding for two cuts in 2025
Data outlook softening:
🏭 GDP ↓
📈 Inflation ↑
👷 Unemployment ↑
🧠 Powell's just doing his job — not playing politics
SA’s MPC, on the other hand… maybe a bit behind the curve
💬 Chat with Old Mutual: rotating out of gold, into PGMs
🔼 Platinum at 10-year highs, last seen in Oct 2014
🇿🇼 🇿🇦 Platinum from Southern Africa; 🇨🇦 🇷🇺 Palladium elsewhere
📦 Stockpiles, especially palladium, still working through
🚗 EVs: Now only expected to be 40% of sales by 2035
Existential crisis for PGMs? Delayed… for now
🧊 Recycling paused — not worth it at these prices
🥇 Pick your poison: Impala, Northam, Sibanye Stillwater*…
📦 Sibanye with PGMs, palladium & gold exposure
🧲 Pullback to support around R3,330/g
Could go as low as R3,200 — but not rolling over
💡 Structural shift in how investors (especially in developed markets) view gold
🛡️ Post-2022 shift: Central banks hedging against future sanctions with more gold
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