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in this inaugural ep of [trading places], dave mcclure & aman verjee welcome david zhou (super clusters) to talk secondary markets, ai bubbles, and why your DPI might be total bs

we go deep on:

– openai’s $500B tender

– canvas vs databricks valuations

– LP/GP dynamics

– when to sell in secondaries

– spv food fights

– and the ghost of rap battles past

also: mean VC, VC trading cards, and the most painful vc math lesson you’ll hear this year.

subscribe for more pod pain.

Timestamps:

00:00 — cold open

43:10 — welcome to a very bad podcast about vc secondaries

00:01:00 — what is a secondary? (not just pre-ipo shares)

00:04:05 — how to think about valuation: revenue vs hype

00:06:07 — openai at $500B — overpriced or fair?

00:10:48 — canva vs databricks — who’s actually worth it?

00:12:58 — is AI in a bubble? we argue both sides

00:15:33 — the SPV food fight begins

00:18:00 — why companies hate multi-layered SPVs

00:19:40 — guest intro: david zhou of super clusters

00:21:58 — how david became an LP by accident

00:23:46 — the rap origin story of erik torenberg

00:27:05 — what is DPI and when should GPs sell?

00:32:47 — the tradeoffs of selling winners too early

00:37:00 — are we living in an “overmarked” AI cycle?

00:40:56 — why pricing efficiency matters in secondaries

00:44:00 — the myth of public-like liquidity in secondaries

00:48:33 — valuation corner: databricks vs snowflake

00:54:12 — OPP spotlight: yohei nakajima & the rise of mean VC

01:01:09 — mark suster ep2 teaser

01:01:41 — bloopers

referenced links:

https://cupofzhou.com/the-non-obvious-emerging-lp-playbook/

https://cupofzhou.com/the-science-of-selling/https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/technology/openai-chatgpt-stock-sale-valuation.html

https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/what-is-deepseek-why-is-it-disrupting-ai-sector-2025-01-27/

https://africa.businessinsider.com/news/anthropic-seeing-voracious-demand-for-shares-is-clamping-down-on-a-certain-kind-of/4g25zyw

https://openai.com/policies/unauthorized-openai-equity-transactions/

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/1/2000-investor-limit.asp

find us at: www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod

[david zhou > https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidjzhou | https://x.com/cupazhou ]

[aman verjee > https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ]

[dave mcclure > https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ]

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14 episodes